Michael I love ya my man… But this wasn’t unexpected

Here's my FINAL call for #NYC ❄️ The #Blizzard of 2026 will likely bring the city's biggest snowfall in at least 5 years. I factored in the two potential "heavy snow bands" with the blue color. It can still shift, as it's impossible to predict their exact location. Good night!

Nam is out of control

Brother

Pretty sure we can call it a Miller-A / HECS. (Historic East Coast Snowstorm)

Who’s ready for the Blizzard of 2026?

--Updated Blizzard Forecast-- The main change with this update was to change forecast confidence to "High" and expand the highest totals into NE Massachusetts. Ceiling 35", floor 12". Snowfall rates will exceed 2-4" per hour.

Two things I continue to marvel at as I watch the data come in this afternoon: 1) The astonishing gradient between the 1049mb High north of Lake Superior while the coastal low is bombing down to 967mb on the GFS. This absurd 82mb difference should help drive wind gusts up to hurricane force along the immediate coast. 2) How similar this surface map is in both placement and strength of the high pressure to the February 1978 setup.

Brother what in the corncob Michael nobleskin Adam furry cornelius is this

me after looking at every single new model forecast so far today

I honestly wasn’t even aware so many were without a clue that this was possible. Just shocking tbh… If what ur saying about euro is hugging is true that’s maybe worse… I just can’t stand such bright minds and decades of knowledge to go to waste on model p type hugging and snow map hugging. It’s why I’m always at least curious what ur thoughts are because I know a lot of ur weight goes into current OBS. Something I’ve tried to keep forcing myself to get better over the past several years

The commentary floating around is lazy. Just say you bank your forecasting on the Euro and move it along for that is obviously where the change of heart began once that guidance woke up to reality. I ignored it and frequently do. It's not as if the components weren't trackable.

🚨🚨BLIZZARD WARNING 🚨🚨 HEAVY SNOW,Snowfall rates at 2-3” per hour at times during height of storm. Strong winds gusting to 50 MPH will create Blizzard conditions for NYC & LI. Visibility down to 1/4 Mile at times with whiteout conditions.

For those outside of SNE, here is the region-wide snowfall map. A crippling blizzard from DC to Boston.

Euro has truly becoming a trash model. If it fumbles this. Retire it. Get something better or give an update worth its salt. Anyways…

The heavy snow band will pivot through the NYC metro, but if the NAM/HRRR/GFS camp verifies, it’ll continue moving to the west until coming to a stall over eastern PA where the heaviest totals would happen. The eastern ECM/RGEM camp would favor the pivot axis over the NYC metro.

Will post a second update to my snow map later this afternoon — if current trends hold, I’m inclined to add a 24-36” contour in NJ and/or eastern PA. Extremely impressive forcing for a slow-moving snow band with snow rates over 2-4”/hour.

U literally couldn’t draw up something better in a text book. Thats the mother-load…

I can tell you that upstream here in Arkansas, we had some convective cells overnight that weren't necessarily modeled and some of that was sleet/thundersleet, associated with that shortwave moving over the southern plains. If that helps. :D

HRRR NUKES THE NORTHEAST!!!! Still snowing too 😳